Ask Mase: Should the Broncos’ early-season offensive expectations be tempered? – Denver Fan

Let’s dive in:

I want to temper expectations. We are then more likely to not be disappointed. Hope for the best, but expect something much less than that.

In the words of Dodgeball Gym owner Peter LaFleur: “I’ve found that if you have a goal, you might not achieve it. But if you don’t have one, you’re never disappointed.

“And I have to tell you, it’s phenomenal.”

OK, that’s a bit extreme. But that being said, expect the start of the season to not reflect the finished product.

A look at 16 other veteran quarterbacks who switched teams and weren’t considered reserved QBs over the past 15 years shows teams with those QBs averaged 10.6% fewer points per team. game and 2.6% fewer yards per game in the first three games. in the season report.

And while Broncos fans remember Peyton Manning’s improvement and offense in 2012, the 5.4-point-per-game increase after his first three starts in Denver isn’t even the biggest of last 15 years. That honor goes to… Carson Wentz with the Colts last year. Indianapolis averaged 9.5 more points from Game 4 than they did in the first three games. Wentz started with the horseshoe on his helmet.

So, expect better after the first three games… but don’t expect better. If the Broncos pull away from the gate and are averaging 16 points per game in Weeks 1-3, be concerned. Because history shows that even if they improve, the rate of improvement is unlikely to produce an elite offense this year.

If the Broncos can average 23 points per game in Weeks 1-3, history shows they should be able to average 26-27 points per game after that. This is the difference between an average offense and a top 10 offense.

From Mike to Salt Lake City:

Hello Mass!

With the trade of Russell Wilson and his overtime signing, it has been repeatedly said by many that the Broncos are out of “quarterback purgatory”. It’s a term that I think most football fans understand the meaning of without any explanation.

But quarterbacks haven’t always been as critical to the team’s success as they are now. This got me wondering where the term “purgatory quarterback” comes from? I can’t remember when I first heard it, but I’m sure it didn’t last my whole life (born in the 70s like you Mase!)

When was it born? Who invented it? What are the first uses?

So the first thing I did was search for the exact words “quarterback purgatory” on Newspapers.com, to which I have a subscription. The first example of this phrase that I could find was from Super Bowl Sunday 1989, in the preview of Super Bowl XXIII by recently retired Bob Glauber, for press day. Interestingly, Glauber used those two words to describe Joe Montana! He used that description to talk about the situation Montana found himself in mid-season, when he sat on the bench as Steve Young started – and dazzled, in his own style.

The next few entries for “quarterback purgatory” also described individual passers. A reference to Todd Marinovich of the Los Angeles Raiders at the end of the 1992 season. A preview of the 1994 season that noted how New Orleans Saints QB Jim Everett escaped purgatory with the Los Angeles Rams. Ditto an article in the rocky mountain (NC) Telegram on Carolina QB Jack Trudeau, who lost a preseason contest to Frank Reich, then in Week 5 found himself usurped by first-round pick Kerry Collins.

But the first example I could find referring to a team in quarterback purgatory was from Cam Inman’s story of the Contra Costa Times article from March 29, 2010.

As In wrote, “So many teams are in quarterback purgatory that online forums are exploding across the country as fans envision it. [Donovan] McNabb on their side.

This, of course, was referring to the former Eagles QB (not “Eagles QB” for you Tecmo Super Bowl fans). McNabb landed in Washington under then-newly hired Mike Shanahan. It didn’t go well.

Three years later, a history of Milwaukee Journal Sentinel describes teams that have spent “decades in quarterback purgatory,” referring to the Bills, Cardinals and Bears. That story — midway through the 2013 season — featured a Baltimore defense giving Joe Flacco a long-term contract after earning Super Bowl XLVII MVP honors. We know how it happened.

But the fact that for decades “quarterback purgatory” described individuals who were backups — rather than teams — reflects the evolution of the game and the need for a top-notch QB.

Without a doubt, having a great QB has always counted. The difference now is that it’s a requirement for just having a chance to accomplish something significant. Without a top-tier QB, your nose is permanently pressed against the glass, watching the NFL contenders from the outside.

From Rob on Twitter:

Depth at cornerback, offensive tackle and inside linebacker, in that order. Denver is one injury away from being in trouble there. At the tackle, Denver will recover Tom Compton at some point. The Broncos are also hoping Billy Turner will be ready early in the season. But it’s a touch-and-go, and Turner has to work his way into football form.

I’m not putting the tight end in there because the Broncos have reasonable alternatives. Specifically, they have a very competent blocker (Eric Tomlinson), a terrific wide receiver in space (Albert Okwuegbunam), an improving tight end (Eric Saubert) and someone who can do a bit of everything. (Andrew Beck). It is a position where it is about the aggregate. And you can lose one more beyond rookie Greg Dulcich — who you shouldn’t realistically expect as a rookie, anyway — and be fine.

Dre’Mont Jones, no doubt.

Inside setters of his quality are hard to find. And they are even harder to defuse for an opposing pass-pro system. During training camp, he was the Broncos’ most disruptive defenseman.

You can see the future in edge rusher in its embryonic stages of development. Baron Browning, Nik Bonitto and Jonathon Cooper could easily include a starter and two rotational pieces beyond Randy Gregory if the Broncos choose not to re-sign Bradley Chubb. But on the defensive line, the future isn’t quite as clear – in part because two-thirds of the DL second team include rookies.

Jones is probably the most needed re-signing at this point.


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